Sports Mole previews Tuesday’s ATP Finals spherical-robin match between Daniil Medvedev and Alex de Minaur, including predictions, head-to-head and their tournament so far.
After false begins of their tournament openers, Daniil Medvedev and Alex de Minaur picture for considerable-needed triumphs in Tuesday’s ATP World Tour Finals spherical-robin in discovering.
The Russian was as soon as overwhelmed by Taylor Fritz in two sets, while the Australian debutant would possibly possibly well not defend a stable open towards year-discontinuance No. 1 Jannik Sinner on day one.
Match preview
© Imago
Familiar failings resurfaced in Medvedev’s 4-6, 3-6 loss to US Commence finalist Fritz on Sunday, as the Russian’s seven double faults in situation one undermined his play and averted momentum on abet.
Even though those errors on his deliveries diminished vastly afterwards — he double-faulted as soon as within the 2nd situation — the 28-year-faded bought shrimp pleasure on his American opponent’s abet, failing to profit from three destroy components.
Eight errors on abet have faith taken the 2020 Finals champion to 292 double-faults in 2024, accounting for 15.2% of his profession total (1923), and it would possibly possibly well also be attention-grabbing to search out if solutions are chanced on heading into a 10th ATP Tour match-up with De Minaur.
Now at Forty five-20 for the season after the Fritz loss, the enviornment No. 4 hopes to stable a derive in match two to provide himself a gamble going into the final spherical-robin match towards Sinner.
Even though Medvedev had a decent Asian swing, reaching the semi-final in Beijing and quarters in Shanghai, he faces his Australian opponent after consecutive defeats all the highest scheme by two competitions — Alexei Popyrin in Paris and Fritz in Turin — and objectives to total his 0-2 bound towards the debutant.
© Imago
Despite changing his first destroy-point different early on towards Sinner, that was as soon as De Minaur’s preferrred enhance within the 3-6, 4-6 loss to the enviornment No. 1.
Having capitalised on Sinner’s late open, the house player raised his level for the remainder of the opening situation, breaking the 25-year-faded twice and notching one extra within the fifth recreation of situation two for the victory.
The Australian No. 1 hopes to support lessons from his first look on the Finals into any other match towards Medvedev, arresting to file a fourth triumph over the Russian and 2nd in 2024.
De Minaur gained their final meeting in four sets on the French Commence, and he bids for consecutive triumphs over the 20-time Tour champion.
A beneficiary of Novak Djokovic‘s withdrawal, the nine-time champion would possibly possibly well procure his ticket in Turin with a wonderful victory towards a aged Finals champion.
Tournament so far
Daniil Medvedev:
Spherical robin: vs. Taylor Fritz 4-6 3-6
Alex de Minaur:
Spherical robin: vs. Jannik Sinner 3-6 4-6
Head To Head
French Commence (2024) – Fourth spherical: De Minaur 4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3
Beijing (2023) – Spherical of 16: Medvedev 7-6(3) 6-3
US Commence (2023) – Fourth spherical: Medvedev 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-2
Canada Masters (2023) – Quarter-final: De Minaur 7-6(7) 7-5
Paris Masters (2022) – Spherical of 32: De Minaur 6-4 2-6 7-5
ATP Cup (2022) – Spherical robin: Medvedev 6-4 6-2
Paris Masters (2020) – Spherical of 16: Medvedev 5-7 6-2 6-2
Winston-Salem (2018) – Spherical of 32: Medvedev 6-3 6-3
Sydney (2018) – Final: Medvedev 1-6 6-4 7-5
Whereas Medvedev leads their head-to-head 6-3, four of the Russian’s wins came within the pair’s first tour-level encounters.
De Minaur has responded with three wins within the hot 5 and seeks to toughen to 4-2 of their fresh stretch of meetings.
The Australian player is 0-2 towards top-10 avid gamers since beating Medvedev at Roland Garros, falling to Alexander Zverev in Paris months support and Sinner on Sunday, and he objectives to total that losing creep for a sixth success towards that elite community in 2024.
We’re asserting: De Minaur to derive in three sets
Despite Medvedev’s superior abilities of the year-discontinuance tournament, errors on abet would possibly possibly well weaken his probabilities towards a motivated De Minaur, and we support the Australian player to stun the aged world No. 1.
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